−40%−20%0−13%−1×+13%+1×PCE prices for June 2025: +0.4% on the month, core +0.3%Jobs report for July 2025: -185k, unemployment 4.2%Jobless claims for the week to Aug 2, 2025: 226,000 (+8k)CPI release for July 2025: +0.2% on the month, core +0.3%Producer prices for July 2025: +1.0% on the monthRetail sales for July 2025: +0.9% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Aug 16, 2025: 235,000 (+11k)