−10%0+10%+20%−5.1%−1×+5.1%+1×Producer prices for February 2026: +0.7% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Mar 14, 2026: 205,000 (-8k)Jobless claims for the week to Mar 21, 2026: 210,000 (+5k)Q1 2026 quarterly options expiryRetail sales for February 2026: +0.7% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Mar 28, 2026: 202,000 (-8k)Trump announces a two-week ceasefire with IranPCE prices for February 2026: +0.4% on the month, core +0.4%Producer prices for March 2026: +0.5% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Apr 11, 2026: 207,000 (-12k)Retail sales for March 2026: +1.9% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Apr 18, 2026: 214,000 (+7k)FOMC: holdGDP for 2026 Q1: 2.0% a year