−10%−5%0+5%−5.8%−1×+5.8%+1×Retail sales for February 2026: +0.7% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Mar 28, 2026: 202,000 (-8k)Trump announces a two-week ceasefire with IranPCE prices for February 2026: +0.4% on the month, core +0.4%CPI release for March 2026: +0.9% on the month, core +0.2%Producer prices for March 2026: +0.5% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Apr 11, 2026: 207,000 (-12k)Retail sales for March 2026: +1.9% on the month