−20%0+20%+40%−11%−1×+11%+1×AP calls the US presidential election for TrumpJobless claims for the week to Nov 2, 2024: 221,000 (+5k)CPI release for October 2024: +0.2% on the month, core +0.3%Producer prices for October 2024: +0.3% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Nov 16, 2024: 213,000 (-4k)PCE prices for October 2024: +0.2% on the month, core +0.3%November 2024 monthly options expiryTrump picks Paul Atkins to chair the SECJobless claims for the week to Nov 30, 2024: 224,000 (+11k)CPI release for November 2024: +0.3% on the month, core +0.3%Producer prices for November 2024: +0.6% on the monthRetail sales for November 2024: +0.8% on the monthFOMC: 25bp cut