−8%−6%−4%−2%0+2%−4.7%−2×−2.4%−1×+2.4%+1×+4.7%+2×GDP for 2025 Q1: -0.3% a yearJobless claims for the week to Apr 26, 2025: 241,000 (+19k)Jobs report for April 2025: +119k, unemployment 4.2%FOMC: holdJobless claims for the week to May 3, 2025: 228,000 (-13k)