−40%−20%0+20%+40%−10%−1×+10%+1×Jobless claims for the week to Sep 1, 2018: 203,000 (-10k)Jobs report for August 2018: +151k, unemployment 3.9%Producer prices for August 2018: -0.1% on the monthCPI release for August 2018: +0.2% on the month, core +0.1%Jobless claims for the week to Sep 15, 2018: 201,000 (-3k)FOMC: 25bp hikeJobless claims for the week to Sep 22, 2018: 214,000 (+13k)Jobless claims for the week to Sep 29, 2018: 207,000 (-7k)Jobs report for September 2018: +221k, unemployment 3.7%Producer prices for September 2018: +0.2% on the monthCPI release for September 2018: +0.1% on the month, core +0.1%Retail sales for September 2018: 0.0% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Oct 13, 2018: 210,000 (-4k)