0+20%+40%−9.2%−1×+9.2%+1×Jobless claims for the week to Jan 4, 2020: 214,000 (-8k)Jobs report for December 2019: +131k, unemployment 3.5%CPI release for December 2019: +0.2% on the month, core +0.1%Producer prices for December 2019: +0.1% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Jan 18, 2020: 211,000 (+7k)FOMC: holdGDP for 2019 Q4: 2.1% a yearJobless claims for the week to Feb 1, 2020: 202,000 (-14k)Jobs report for January 2020: -197k, unemployment 3.6%CPI release for January 2020: +0.1% on the month, core +0.2%Retail sales for January 2020: 0.0% on the monthProducer prices for January 2020: +0.5% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Feb 15, 2020: 210,000 (+5k)