−20%−15%−10%−5%0+5%−16%−1×+16%+1×Jobless claims for the week to Aug 1, 2026: 199,000 (+2k)Jobs report for July 2026: -126k, unemployment 4.1%CPI release for July 2026: +0.1% on the month, core +0.2%Producer prices for July 2026: 0.0% on the monthRecord crypto short squeezePCE prices for July 2026: +0.2% on the month, core +0.3%Jobless claims for the week to Aug 22, 2026: 203,000 (-3k)Jobless claims for the week to Aug 29, 2026: 206,000 (+3k)Jobs report for August 2026: +217k, unemployment 4.1%Producer prices for August 2026: +0.5% on the monthCPI release for August 2026: +0.4% on the month, core +0.3%Senate fails to advance the CLARITY ActRetail sales for August 2026: +1.4% on the month