−30%−20%−10%0+10%−6.7%−1×+6.7%+1×Jobless claims for the week to Feb 21, 2026: 212,000 (+6k)February 2026 monthly options expiryJobless claims for the week to Feb 28, 2026: 213,000 (+1k)Retail sales for January 2026: -0.2% on the monthCPI release for February 2026: +0.3% on the month, core +0.2%Jobless claims for the week to Mar 7, 2026: 213,000 (0k)Producer prices for February 2026: +0.7% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Mar 14, 2026: 205,000 (-8k)Jobless claims for the week to Mar 21, 2026: 210,000 (+5k)Q1 2026 quarterly options expiryRetail sales for February 2026: +0.7% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Mar 28, 2026: 202,000 (-8k)Trump announces a two-week ceasefire with IranPCE prices for February 2026: +0.4% on the month, core +0.4%