−40%−20%0−26%−1×+26%+1×FOMC: holdGDP for 2020 Q4: 4.0% a yearJobless claims for the week to Jan 30, 2021: 779,000 (-68k)Jobs report for January 2021: +7k, unemployment 6.3%CPI release for January 2021: +0.3% on the month, core 0.0%Retail sales for January 2021: +5.0% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Feb 13, 2021: 861,000 (+68k)Jobless claims for the week to Feb 20, 2021: 730,000 (-131k)February 2021 monthly options expiryJobless claims for the week to Feb 27, 2021: 745,000 (+15k)Jobs report for February 2021: +417k, unemployment 6.2%CPI release for February 2021: +0.4% on the month, core +0.1%Jobless claims for the week to Mar 6, 2021: 712,000 (-33k)