−10%−5%0+5%−3.0%−1×+3.0%+1×Retail sales for December 2025: -0.1% on the monthJobs report for January 2026: -899k, unemployment 4.3%Jobless claims for the week to Feb 14, 2026: 206,000 (-21k)GDP for 2025 Q4: 1.4% a yearJobless claims for the week to Feb 21, 2026: 212,000 (+6k)February 2026 monthly options expiry