−10%0+10%+20%−3.8%−1×+3.8%+1×Jobless claims for the week to Jul 1, 2023: 248,000 (+9k)Jobs report for June 2023: +99k, unemployment 3.6%CPI release for June 2023: +0.2% on the month, core +0.2%Producer prices for June 2023: -0.1% on the monthRetail sales for June 2023: +0.4% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Jul 15, 2023: 228,000 (-9k)FOMC: 25bp hikeGDP for 2023 Q2: 2.4% a yearFitch downgrades the US credit rating to AA+Jobless claims for the week to Jul 29, 2023: 227,000 (+6k)CPI release for July 2023: +0.2% on the month, core +0.2%Producer prices for July 2023: +0.3% on the monthRetail sales for July 2023: +1.0% on the monthJobless claims for the week to Aug 12, 2023: 239,000 (-9k)