priorcase
priorcase

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Record

COVID-19 shocks

All 6 of them, and what Bitcoin did after each. Nothing here is averaged: every one stands on its own date, and the spread between them is the answer.

What followed

6 have their following 32 hours closed. 2 rose over the next day and 4 fell. A moment becomes eligible as an answer only once that window has closed, so nothing here is scored on a window still open.

When (UTC)What it wasNext 24hNext 32h
2020-11-09 11:45Pfizer and BioNTech report a COVID-19 vaccine more than 90% effective−1.4%−1.3%
2020-03-23 12:00Fed pledges asset purchases in the amounts needed+15.5%+14.8%
2020-03-15 21:00Fed cuts rates to zero and launches $700 billion of asset purchases−5.3%+2.0%
2020-03-13 00:00COVID-19 market crash+16.1%+14.2%
2020-03-11 16:27WHO characterizes COVID-19 as a pandemic−22.3%−38.3%
2020-03-03 15:00Fed cuts rates by 50bp in an emergency move−0.2%+0.1%

Ask this yourself

The same record over the API, and ranked by how much each one resembled a moment you name rather than by date:

curl
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $PRIORCASE_KEY" \
  'https://priorcase.com/v1/after/covid?asset=BTC&alike=now'

Over MCP that is get_topic_outcomes(topic="covid", alike="now"). See them on one axis to lay the paths over each other, Recipes for the two-call loop that starts from the calendar, and the other kindsare here.

Past similarity does not guarantee future outcomes.