priorcase
priorcase

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To make a key, and to see what yours have spent.

Record

exchange and lender failures

All 8 of them, and what Bitcoin did after each. Nothing here is averaged: every one stands on its own date, and the spread between them is the answer.

What followed

8 have their following 32 hours closed. 1 rose over the next day and 7 fell. A moment becomes eligible as an answer only once that window has closed, so nothing here is scored on a window still open.

When (UTC)What it wasNext 24hNext 32h
2022-11-11 14:15FTX files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy−1.4%−1.4%
2022-11-09 21:01Binance drops its plan to acquire FTX+11.8%+6.0%
2022-11-08 16:10Binance signs a letter of intent to acquire FTX−14.6%−21.2%
2022-11-08 13:53FTX stops processing withdrawals−10.2%−19.3%
2022-11-06 15:48Binance says it will liquidate its FTT holdings−2.7%−3.3%
2022-11-02 14:45CoinDesk reports Alameda's balance sheet is dominated by FTT−0.7%−1.1%
2022-06-27 12:05Voyager issues a default notice to Three Arrows Capital−1.4%−5.1%
2022-06-13 02:11Celsius pauses withdrawals, swaps and transfers−16.8%−12.9%

Ask this yourself

The same record over the API, and ranked by how much each one resembled a moment you name rather than by date:

curl
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $PRIORCASE_KEY" \
  'https://priorcase.com/v1/after/exchange-failure?asset=BTC&alike=now'

Over MCP that is get_topic_outcomes(topic="exchange-failure", alike="now"). See them on one axis to lay the paths over each other, Recipes for the two-call loop that starts from the calendar, and the other kindsare here.

Past similarity does not guarantee future outcomes.