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Record

options expiries

All 111 of them, and what Bitcoin did after each. Nothing here is averaged: every one stands on its own date, and the spread between them is the answer.

What followed

111 have their following 32 hours closed. 68 rose over the next day and 43 fell. A moment becomes eligible as an answer only once that window has closed, so nothing here is scored on a window still open.

When (UTC)What it wasNext 24hNext 32h
2026-10-30 08:00October 2026 monthly options expiry−1.1%−0.7%
2026-09-25 08:00Q3 2026 quarterly options expiry+0.1%+0.1%
2026-08-28 08:00August 2026 monthly options expiry−2.6%−2.3%
2026-07-31 08:00July 2026 monthly options expiry−1.4%−1.5%
2026-06-26 08:00Q2 2026 quarterly options expiry0.0%+0.5%
2026-05-29 08:00May 2026 monthly options expiry0.0%+0.5%
2026-04-24 08:00April 2026 monthly options expiry−0.2%−0.4%
2026-03-27 08:00Q1 2026 quarterly options expiry−2.9%−2.2%
2026-02-27 08:00February 2026 monthly options expiry−5.7%−4.2%
2026-01-30 08:00January 2026 monthly options expiry+0.9%−1.8%
2025-12-26 08:00Q4 2025 quarterly options expiry−1.0%−1.0%
2025-11-28 08:00November 2025 monthly options expiry−0.3%+0.2%
2025-10-31 08:00October 2025 monthly options expiry+0.6%+0.8%
2025-09-26 08:00Q3 2025 quarterly options expiry+0.1%+0.1%
2025-08-29 08:00August 2025 monthly options expiry−1.4%−1.0%
2025-07-25 08:00July 2025 monthly options expiry+1.8%+2.5%
2025-06-27 08:00Q2 2025 quarterly options expiry+0.5%+0.5%
2025-05-30 08:00May 2025 monthly options expiry−1.2%−0.4%
2025-04-25 08:00April 2025 monthly options expiry+0.9%+0.6%
2025-03-28 08:00Q1 2025 quarterly options expiry−1.7%−3.3%
2025-02-28 08:00February 2025 monthly options expiry+7.1%+7.2%
2025-01-31 08:00January 2025 monthly options expiry−2.0%−2.1%
2024-12-27 08:00Q4 2024 quarterly options expiry−0.8%−0.7%
2024-11-29 08:00November 2024 monthly options expiry+1.2%+1.1%
2024-10-25 08:00October 2024 monthly options expiry−0.8%−1.0%
2024-09-27 08:00Q3 2024 quarterly options expiry+0.5%+0.2%
2024-08-30 08:00August 2024 monthly options expiry−0.3%−0.5%
2024-07-26 08:00July 2024 monthly options expiry+1.7%+2.9%
2024-06-28 08:00Q2 2024 quarterly options expiry−0.6%−0.5%
2024-05-31 08:00May 2024 monthly options expiry−0.9%−0.8%
2024-04-26 08:00April 2024 monthly options expiry−2.1%−2.1%
2024-03-29 08:00Q1 2024 quarterly options expiry+0.1%+0.4%
2024-02-23 08:00February 2024 monthly options expiry+0.3%+0.4%
2024-01-26 08:00January 2024 monthly options expiry+4.4%+4.6%
2023-12-29 08:00Q4 2023 quarterly options expiry−0.9%+0.1%
2023-11-24 08:00November 2023 monthly options expiry+0.8%+0.5%
2023-10-27 08:00October 2023 monthly options expiry+0.3%+0.7%
2023-09-29 08:00Q3 2023 quarterly options expiry−0.9%−0.7%
2023-08-25 08:00August 2023 monthly options expiry+0.3%+0.3%
2023-07-28 08:00July 2023 monthly options expiry+0.6%+0.6%
2023-06-30 08:00Q2 2023 quarterly options expiry−1.0%−0.6%
2023-05-26 08:00May 2023 monthly options expiry+0.9%+0.7%
2023-04-28 08:00April 2023 monthly options expiry−0.4%−0.7%
2023-03-31 08:00Q1 2023 quarterly options expiry+2.5%+2.4%
2023-02-24 08:00February 2023 monthly options expiry−3.0%−3.5%
2023-01-27 08:00January 2023 monthly options expiry−0.4%−0.3%
2022-12-30 08:00Q4 2022 quarterly options expiry+0.5%+0.7%
2022-11-25 08:00November 2022 monthly options expiry+0.8%+0.3%
2022-10-28 08:00October 2022 monthly options expiry+3.5%+4.2%
2022-09-30 08:00Q3 2022 quarterly options expiry−1.3%−1.2%
2022-08-26 08:00August 2022 monthly options expiry−5.5%−6.9%
2022-07-29 08:00July 2022 monthly options expiry−0.2%+2.5%
2022-06-24 08:00Q2 2022 quarterly options expiry+2.9%+0.3%
2022-05-27 08:00May 2022 monthly options expiry−0.3%+0.1%
2022-04-29 08:00April 2022 monthly options expiry−2.4%−2.8%
2022-03-25 08:00Q1 2022 quarterly options expiry+1.3%+0.6%
2022-02-25 08:00February 2022 monthly options expiry+1.8%+2.0%
2022-01-28 08:00January 2022 monthly options expiry+2.9%+2.2%
2021-12-31 08:00Q4 2021 quarterly options expiry+0.1%+0.1%
2021-11-26 08:00November 2021 monthly options expiry−4.5%−3.6%
2021-10-29 08:00October 2021 monthly options expiry+1.6%+1.4%
2021-09-24 08:00Q3 2021 quarterly options expiry−5.6%−4.8%
2021-08-27 08:00August 2021 monthly options expiry+3.1%+2.8%
2021-07-30 08:00July 2021 monthly options expiry+4.7%+4.7%
2021-06-25 08:00Q2 2021 quarterly options expiry−10.4%−8.0%
2021-05-28 08:00May 2021 monthly options expiry−2.1%−7.0%
2021-04-30 08:00April 2021 monthly options expiry+6.3%+5.6%
2021-03-26 08:00Q1 2021 quarterly options expiry+2.5%+2.5%
2021-02-26 08:00February 2021 monthly options expiry+5.0%+3.7%
2021-01-29 08:00January 2021 monthly options expiry+5.3%+6.0%
2020-12-25 08:00Q4 2020 quarterly options expiry+4.8%+8.4%
2020-11-27 08:00November 2020 monthly options expiry−0.4%+2.5%
2020-10-30 08:00October 2020 monthly options expiry+2.8%+4.8%
2020-09-25 08:00Q3 2020 quarterly options expiry+0.2%+0.3%
2020-08-28 08:00August 2020 monthly options expiry+1.7%+1.1%
2020-07-31 08:00July 2020 monthly options expiry+4.6%+4.4%
2020-06-26 08:00Q2 2020 quarterly options expiry+0.5%+0.1%
2020-05-29 08:00May 2020 monthly options expiry+0.1%+0.2%
2020-04-24 08:00April 2020 monthly options expiry−0.3%−0.7%
2020-03-27 08:00Q1 2020 quarterly options expiry−7.7%−7.3%
2020-02-28 08:00February 2020 monthly options expiry+0.6%−0.7%
2020-01-31 08:00January 2020 monthly options expiry+0.7%−0.3%
2019-12-27 08:00Q4 2019 quarterly options expiry+1.7%+1.9%
2019-11-29 08:00November 2019 monthly options expiry+3.2%+0.2%
2019-10-25 08:00October 2019 monthly options expiry+27.1%+23.1%
2019-09-27 08:00Q3 2019 quarterly options expiry+2.2%+0.5%
2019-08-30 08:00August 2019 monthly options expiry+1.3%+1.3%
2019-07-26 08:00July 2019 monthly options expiry+3.1%−3.7%
2019-06-28 08:00Q2 2019 quarterly options expiry+5.2%+5.5%
2019-05-31 08:00May 2019 monthly options expiry+2.9%+2.7%
2019-04-26 08:00April 2019 monthly options expiry+0.3%−0.2%
2019-03-29 08:00Q1 2019 quarterly options expiry+1.4%+0.9%
2019-02-22 08:00February 2019 monthly options expiry+0.9%+0.8%
2019-01-25 08:00January 2019 monthly options expiry+1.5%−0.4%
2018-12-28 08:00Q4 2018 quarterly options expiry+8.5%+7.4%
2018-11-30 08:00November 2018 monthly options expiry−5.4%+0.1%
2018-10-26 08:00October 2018 monthly options expiry+0.5%+0.2%
2018-09-28 08:00Q3 2018 quarterly options expiry−3.7%−3.1%
2018-08-31 08:00August 2018 monthly options expiry+1.3%+3.0%
2018-07-27 08:00July 2018 monthly options expiry+3.6%+2.6%
2018-06-29 08:00Q2 2018 quarterly options expiry+8.7%+8.2%
2018-05-25 08:00May 2018 monthly options expiry+1.7%+1.5%
2018-04-27 08:00April 2018 monthly options expiry−1.2%+1.3%
2018-03-30 08:00Q1 2018 quarterly options expiry−5.1%−2.2%
2018-02-23 08:00February 2018 monthly options expiry+2.3%−1.5%
2018-01-26 08:00January 2018 monthly options expiry+1.5%+4.0%
2017-12-29 08:00Q4 2017 quarterly options expiry−6.0%−13.3%
2017-11-24 08:00November 2017 monthly options expiry+0.1%+4.1%
2017-10-27 08:00October 2017 monthly options expiry−1.5%−3.2%
2017-09-29 08:00Q3 2017 quarterly options expiry+4.9%+5.8%
2017-08-25 08:00August 2017 monthly options expiry−0.3%−1.1%

Ask this yourself

The same record over the API, and ranked by how much each one resembled a moment you name rather than by date:

curl
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $PRIORCASE_KEY" \
  'https://priorcase.com/v1/after/expiry?asset=BTC&alike=now'

Over MCP that is get_topic_outcomes(topic="expiry", alike="now"). See them on one axis to lay the paths over each other, Recipes for the two-call loop that starts from the calendar, and the other kindsare here.

Past similarity does not guarantee future outcomes.