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To make a key, and to see what yours have spent.

Record

Fed rate cuts

All 13 of them, and what Bitcoin did after each. Nothing here is averaged: every one stands on its own date, and the spread between them is the answer.

What followed

13 have their following 32 hours closed. 5 rose over the next day and 8 fell. A moment becomes eligible as an answer only once that window has closed, so nothing here is scored on a window still open.

When (UTC)What it wasNext 24hNext 32h
2025-12-10 19:00FOMC statement (December 2025): 25bp cut−2.0%+0.1%
2025-10-29 18:00FOMC statement (October 2025): 25bp cut−3.9%−2.0%
2025-09-17 18:00FOMC statement (September 2025): 25bp cut+1.7%+1.4%
2024-12-18 19:00FOMC statement (December 2024): 25bp cut−5.7%−6.9%
2024-11-07 19:00FOMC statement (November 2024): 25bp cut+0.3%−0.3%
2024-09-18 18:00FOMC statement (September 2024): 50bp cut+6.2%+5.1%
2020-03-15 21:00FOMC statement (March 2020): 100bp cut−5.3%+2.0%
2020-03-15 21:00Fed cuts rates to zero and launches $700 billion of asset purchases−5.3%+2.0%
2020-03-03 15:00FOMC statement (March 2020): 50bp cut−0.2%+0.1%
2020-03-03 15:00Fed cuts rates by 50bp in an emergency move−0.2%+0.1%
2019-10-30 18:00FOMC statement (October 2019): 25bp cut+1.6%0.0%
2019-09-18 18:00FOMC statement (September 2019): 25bp cut−1.5%+0.4%
2019-07-31 18:00FOMC statement (July 2019): 25bp cut+0.7%+3.6%

Ask this yourself

The same record over the API, and ranked by how much each one resembled a moment you name rather than by date:

curl
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $PRIORCASE_KEY" \
  'https://priorcase.com/v1/after/rate-cut?asset=BTC&alike=now'

Over MCP that is get_topic_outcomes(topic="rate-cut", alike="now"). See them on one axis to lay the paths over each other, Recipes for the two-call loop that starts from the calendar, and the other kindsare here.

Past similarity does not guarantee future outcomes.