Record
Fed rate hikes
All 17 of them, and what Bitcoin did after each. Nothing here is averaged: every one stands on its own date, and the spread between them is the answer.
What followed
| When (UTC) | What it was | Next 24h | Next 32h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 18:00 | FOMC statement (September 2026): 25bp hike | +1.2% | +1.3% |
| 2023-07-26 18:00 | FOMC statement (July 2023): 25bp hike | −0.2% | −0.1% |
| 2023-05-03 18:00 | FOMC statement (May 2023): 25bp hike | +1.0% | +2.7% |
| 2023-03-22 18:00 | FOMC statement (March 2023): 25bp hike | −0.8% | −1.0% |
| 2023-02-01 19:00 | FOMC statement (February 2023): 25bp hike | +4.3% | +1.8% |
| 2022-12-14 19:00 | FOMC statement (December 2022): 50bp hike | −4.6% | −4.5% |
| 2022-11-02 18:00 | FOMC statement (November 2022): 75bp hike | −0.9% | −0.6% |
| 2022-09-21 18:00 | FOMC statement (September 2022): 75bp hike | −3.3% | −1.9% |
| 2022-07-27 18:00 | FOMC statement (July 2022): 75bp hike | +11.0% | +10.3% |
| 2022-06-15 18:00 | FOMC statement (June 2022): 75bp hike | −0.1% | −1.0% |
| 2022-05-04 18:00 | FOMC statement (May 2022): 50bp hike | −5.6% | −6.9% |
| 2022-03-16 18:00 | FOMC statement (March 2022): 25bp hike | +0.9% | +0.3% |
| 2018-12-19 19:00 | FOMC statement (December 2018): 25bp hike | +6.5% | +6.4% |
| 2018-09-26 18:00 | FOMC statement (September 2018): 25bp hike | −0.3% | +2.9% |
| 2018-06-13 18:00 | FOMC statement (June 2018): 25bp hike | +4.6% | +4.3% |
| 2018-03-21 18:00 | FOMC statement (March 2018): 25bp hike | −2.1% | −3.1% |
| 2017-12-13 19:00 | FOMC statement (December 2017): 25bp hike | +2.2% | +7.6% |
Ask this yourself
The same record over the API, and ranked by how much each one resembled a moment you name rather than by date:
curl
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $PRIORCASE_KEY" \
'https://priorcase.com/v1/after/rate-hike?asset=BTC&alike=now'Over MCP that is get_topic_outcomes(topic="rate-hike", alike="now"). See them on one axis to lay the paths over each other, Recipes for the two-call loop that starts from the calendar, and the other kindsare here.